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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Eurojackpot · every number · star deck

7

Star 7

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 2 from 1–8 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 20225/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 20225/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014
35times drawn · chance expected 33 +0.35σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
3.6average wait between appearances · chance says 4.0
17longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long
7 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 35 times in 133 draws against 33.3 expected, +0.35σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

7

Number 7, draw by draw

Drawn 35 times in 133 draws · average wait 3.6 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 1 draws now

1 draws: 2012-05-25 to 2012-06-011 draws: 2012-06-01 to 2012-06-082 draws: 2012-06-08 to 2012-06-229 draws: 2012-06-22 to 2012-08-246 draws: 2012-08-24 to 2012-10-054 draws: 2012-10-05 to 2012-11-022 draws: 2012-11-02 to 2012-11-162 draws: 2012-11-16 to 2012-11-304 draws: 2012-11-30 to 2012-12-283 draws: 2012-12-28 to 2013-01-181 draws: 2013-01-18 to 2013-01-251 draws: 2013-01-25 to 2013-02-011 draws: 2013-02-01 to 2013-02-085 draws: 2013-02-08 to 2013-03-152 draws: 2013-03-15 to 2013-03-295 draws: 2013-03-29 to 2013-05-031 draws: 2013-05-03 to 2013-05-103 draws: 2013-05-10 to 2013-05-313 draws: 2013-05-31 to 2013-06-212 draws: 2013-06-21 to 2013-07-051 draws: 2013-07-05 to 2013-07-129 draws: 2013-07-12 to 2013-09-131 draws: 2013-09-13 to 2013-09-203 draws: 2013-09-20 to 2013-10-117 draws: 2013-10-11 to 2013-11-291 draws: 2013-11-29 to 2013-12-063 draws: 2013-12-06 to 2013-12-274 draws: 2013-12-27 to 2014-01-243 draws: 2014-01-24 to 2014-02-141 draws: 2014-02-14 to 2014-02-213 draws: 2014-02-21 to 2014-03-1410 draws: 2014-03-14 to 2014-05-231 draws: 2014-05-23 to 2014-05-3017 draws: 2014-05-30 to 2014-09-26Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2014-09-262012-05-252012-06-012012-06-082012-06-222012-08-242012-10-052012-11-022012-11-162012-11-302012-12-282013-01-182013-01-252013-02-012013-02-082013-03-152013-03-292013-05-032013-05-102013-05-312013-06-212013-07-052013-07-122013-09-132013-09-202013-10-112013-11-292013-12-062013-12-272014-01-242014-02-142014-02-212014-03-142014-05-232014-05-302014-09-262012-03-232014-10-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 11 times2 draws: 5 times3 draws: 7 times4 draws: 3 times5 draws: 2 times6 draws: 1 time7 draws: 1 time8 draws: 0 times9 draws: 2 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 0 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest6 · chance 5.0
  • 2nd smallest29 · chance 30.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

582413

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 7 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 8. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • The number 7 ×1.15

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 7 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2014-09-26172nd47
2014-05-3012nd47
2014-05-23101st78
2014-03-1432nd47
2014-02-2111st78
2014-02-1432nd67
← star 6Every numberstar 8 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 2/8 tonight whatever it did last week.

2014-01-24
4
2nd
37
2013-12-2732nd37
2013-12-0612nd27
2013-11-2972nd47
2013-10-1131st78
2013-09-2012nd57
2013-09-1392nd17
2013-07-1212nd27
2013-07-0522nd57
2013-06-2132nd27
2013-05-3132nd27
2013-05-1012nd17
2013-05-0352nd37
2013-03-2922nd57
2013-03-1552nd57
2013-02-0812nd17
2013-02-0112nd67
2013-01-2511st78
The other 11 appearances
2013-01-1832nd67
2012-12-2841st78
2012-11-3022nd67
2012-11-1622nd47
2012-11-0242nd57
2012-10-0562nd27
2012-08-2492nd57
2012-06-2222nd17
2012-06-0811st78
2012-06-0112nd37
2012-05-25—2nd57