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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Eurojackpot · every number · star deck

8

Star 8

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 2 from 1–8 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 20225/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 20225/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014
41times drawn · chance expected 33 +1.55σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
3.3average wait between appearances · chance says 4.0
8longest completed wait · >99% chance of one at least that long
8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 41 times in 133 draws against 33.3 expected, +1.55σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

8

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 41 times in 133 draws · average wait 3.3 draws · longest completed wait 8 · drawn in the most recent draw

4 draws: 2012-03-23 to 2012-04-207 draws: 2012-04-20 to 2012-06-086 draws: 2012-06-08 to 2012-07-206 draws: 2012-07-20 to 2012-08-312 draws: 2012-08-31 to 2012-09-144 draws: 2012-09-14 to 2012-10-121 draws: 2012-10-12 to 2012-10-193 draws: 2012-10-19 to 2012-11-095 draws: 2012-11-09 to 2012-12-141 draws: 2012-12-14 to 2012-12-211 draws: 2012-12-21 to 2012-12-281 draws: 2012-12-28 to 2013-01-043 draws: 2013-01-04 to 2013-01-254 draws: 2013-01-25 to 2013-02-227 draws: 2013-02-22 to 2013-04-125 draws: 2013-04-12 to 2013-05-174 draws: 2013-05-17 to 2013-06-142 draws: 2013-06-14 to 2013-06-287 draws: 2013-06-28 to 2013-08-162 draws: 2013-08-16 to 2013-08-305 draws: 2013-08-30 to 2013-10-041 draws: 2013-10-04 to 2013-10-112 draws: 2013-10-11 to 2013-10-251 draws: 2013-10-25 to 2013-11-012 draws: 2013-11-01 to 2013-11-154 draws: 2013-11-15 to 2013-12-131 draws: 2013-12-13 to 2013-12-203 draws: 2013-12-20 to 2014-01-106 draws: 2014-01-10 to 2014-02-212 draws: 2014-02-21 to 2014-03-078 draws: 2014-03-07 to 2014-05-022 draws: 2014-05-02 to 2014-05-161 draws: 2014-05-16 to 2014-05-232 draws: 2014-05-23 to 2014-06-062 draws: 2014-06-06 to 2014-06-202 draws: 2014-06-20 to 2014-07-042 draws: 2014-07-04 to 2014-07-185 draws: 2014-07-18 to 2014-08-224 draws: 2014-08-22 to 2014-09-192 draws: 2014-09-19 to 2014-10-032012-03-232012-04-202012-06-082012-07-202012-08-312012-09-142012-10-122012-10-192012-11-092012-12-142012-12-212012-12-282013-01-042013-01-252013-02-222013-04-122013-05-172013-06-142013-06-282013-08-162013-08-302013-10-042013-10-112013-10-252013-11-012013-11-152013-12-132013-12-202014-01-102014-02-212014-03-072014-05-022014-05-162014-05-232014-06-062014-06-202014-07-042014-07-182014-08-222014-09-192014-10-032012-03-232014-10-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 8 times2 draws: 12 times3 draws: 3 times4 draws: 6 times5 draws: 4 times6 draws: 3 times7 draws: 3 times8 draws: 1 time9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 0 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 2nd smallest41 · chance 41.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

124375

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 7 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 8. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2014-10-0322nd48
2014-09-1942nd18
2014-08-2252nd28
2014-07-1822nd58
2014-07-0422nd18
2014-06-2022nd68
2014-06-0622nd48
2014-05-2312nd78
2014-05-1622nd28
2014-05-0282nd68
2014-03-0722nd18
2014-02-2162nd78
2014-01-1032nd28
2013-12-2012nd68
2013-12-1342nd28
2013-11-1522nd48
2013-11-0112nd58
2013-10-2522nd28
2013-10-1112nd78
2013-10-0452nd18
2013-08-3022nd28
2013-08-1672nd38
2013-06-2822nd38
2013-06-1442nd38
The other 17 appearances
2013-05-1752nd18
2013-04-1272nd18
2013-02-2242nd38
2013-01-2532nd78
2013-01-0412nd58
2012-12-2812nd78
2012-12-2112nd4
← star 7Every numberHighest in the pool
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 2/8 tonight whatever it did last week.

8
2012-12-1452nd58
2012-11-0932nd38
2012-10-1912nd38
2012-10-1242nd48
2012-09-1422nd48
2012-08-3162nd48
2012-07-2062nd18
2012-06-0872nd78
2012-04-2042nd28
2012-03-23—2nd68