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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£13,225,500
The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 22 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 21 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 21 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 49, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 June 2011 — its closest relative in 21 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈48M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,617 winners, 22% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,686,250 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 860,159 | £5.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 309,635 | £5.10 |
| Match 3 | 117,193 | £7.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 58,613 | £9.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 62,905 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,052 | £30.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,617 | £65.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,372 | £125 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 86 | £2,287 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £39,329 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 11 | £107,260 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2 | £6,612,750 |