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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£50,010,872
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 69 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 68 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 68 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (30, 49) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 September 2011 — its closest relative in 68 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 December 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 169 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 48 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 35,733 winners, 15% more than the 31k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,003,594 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 504,610 | £5.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 129,809 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 | 66,665 | £9.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,842 | £16.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 35,733 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,631 | £52.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,326 | £90.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 742 | £161 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 33 | £4,143 |
| Match 5 | 1 | — |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | — |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £50,010,872 |