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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£40,627,240
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 74 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 73 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 73 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 27, 28) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 October 2011 — its closest relative in 73 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 30% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 January 2012): 22 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 89 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,836 winners, 25% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,868,531 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 963,795 | £4.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 270,576 | £6.50 |
| Match 3 | 143,284 | £7.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 54,497 | £11.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 73,907 | £8.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,036 | £33.70 |
| Match 4 | 3,572 | £53.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,836 | £104 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 79 | £2,757 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £36,303 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £435,635 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £40,627,240 |