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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£38,388,400
The crowdHeld 78% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 78 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 77 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 77 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (19, 25) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 December 2011 — its closest relative in 77 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (31 January 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 140,689 winners, 81% more than the 78k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,984,640 | £2.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 738,542 | £6.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 162,646 | £10.70 |
| Match 3 | 140,689 | £7.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30,932 | £20.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 52,254 | £11.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,197 | £61.50 |
| Match 4 | 3,182 | £59.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,204 | £157 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37 | £5,843 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £43,238 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 10 | £129,713 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £38,388,400 |