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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£38,034,640
The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 90 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 89 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 89 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 23, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 July 2011 — its closest relative in 89 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 March 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 92 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →50 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈50M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,817,199 winners, 17% fewer than the 2.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,817,199 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,006,306 | £4.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 318,937 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 145,513 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 67,484 | £8.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 77,204 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,895 | £26.10 |
| Match 4 | 3,154 | £56.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,638 | £110 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 96 | £2,136 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £45,559 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £205,015 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £38,034,640 |