Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£35,495,168
The crowdHeld 52% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 106 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 105 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 105 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 13, 17) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 August 2011 — its closest relative in 105 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 May 2012): 38 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 113 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈26M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,717,386 winners, 52% more than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,717,386 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 727,917 | £6.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 164,958 | £10.20 |
| Match 3 | 115,858 | £8.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31,766 | £18.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 49,112 | £11.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,165 | £59.80 |
| Match 4 | 2,460 | £73.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,024 | £177 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 50 | £4,148 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £46,092 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £177,783 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £35,495,168 |