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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£79,035,840
The crowdHeld 50% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 126 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 125 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 125 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (19, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 June 2012 — its closest relative in 125 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈34M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,246,770 winners, 50% more than the 1.5M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,246,770 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 998,782 | £6.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 218,456 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 | 153,630 | £8.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 43,908 | £18.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 68,636 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,909 | £60.50 |
| Match 4 | 3,491 | £70.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,532 | £161 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 59 | £4,779 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £80,558 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £241,675 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £79,035,840 |