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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£123,419,568
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 129 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 128 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 128 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (29, 39) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 June 2012 — its closest relative in 128 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,487 winners, 15% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,873,361 | £3.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,013,757 | £6.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 270,186 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 | 121,119 | £10.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 49,267 | £16.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 64,551 | £12.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,205 | £54.90 |
| Match 4 | 2,487 | £99.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,298 | £190 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 64 | £4,402 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £46,951 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £281,708 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £123,419,568 |