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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,805,000
The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 133 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 132 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 132 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 38, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 October 2011 — its closest relative in 132 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 47% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9, 10 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 142 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 2,010 winners, 32% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 995,481 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 439,931 | £7.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 114,341 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 | 62,756 | £10.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,295 | £20.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 28,130 | £14.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,010 | £45.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,250 | £101 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 599 | £212 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £4,999 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £41,423 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,805,000 |