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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£27,638,400
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 135 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 134 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 134 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (17, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 August 2012 — its closest relative in 134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,367 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,060,759 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 587,271 | £5.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 152,760 | £7.80 |
| Match 3 | 67,684 | £10.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,525 | £14.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,450 | £10.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,826 | £50.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,367 | £95.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 772 | £168 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36 | £4,124 |
| Match 5 | 1 | £296,961 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £445,441 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £27,638,400 |