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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,914,500
The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 137 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 136 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 136 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 25, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 July 2012 — its closest relative in 136 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 114 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,341 winners, 12% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 914,065 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 518,210 | £5.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 140,376 | £7.40 |
| Match 3 | 63,418 | £9.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,010 | £14.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 34,785 | £10.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,754 | £45.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,341 | £83.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 734 | £153 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 42 | £3,061 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £32,140 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,914,500 |