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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,039,000
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 160 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 159 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 159 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 19, 23) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 July 2012 — its closest relative in 159 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 November 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,720,964 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.9M an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,720,964 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 937,229 | £5.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 270,947 | £6.40 |
| Match 3 | 125,085 | £7.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 54,434 | £11.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 69,142 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,776 | £35.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,900 | £64.70 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,470 | £128 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 87 | £2,465 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £32,999 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £160,871 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,039,000 |