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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,147,000
The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 162 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 161 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 161 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 11, 20) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 June 2012 — its closest relative in 161 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 November 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 81 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 2,063 winners, 55% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,583,580 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 909,148 | £4.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 244,256 | £6.50 |
| Match 3 | 121,024 | £7.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 54,381 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 72,807 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,257 | £28.70 |
| Match 4 | 3,214 | £53.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,063 | £83.00 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 119 | £1,646 |
| Match 5 | 15 | £26,113 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 11 | £106,827 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,147,000 |