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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£34,505,412
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 165 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 164 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 164 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 28, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 September 2011 — its closest relative in 164 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 November 2012): 10 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 116 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 43,993 winners, 6% more than the 42k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,169,425 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 615,881 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 174,096 | £6.70 |
| Match 3 | 82,263 | £8.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,389 | £12.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,993 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,395 | £37.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,850 | £68.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 969 | £130 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 47 | £3,070 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £48,097 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £432,870 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £34,505,412 |