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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£101,812,992
The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 358 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 357 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 357 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 45, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 November 2011 — its closest relative in 357 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 169 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈40M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,156,795 winners, 22% more than the 1.8M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,156,795 | £3.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,020,716 | £6.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 257,481 | £9.90 |
| Match 3 | 137,363 | £10.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 47,840 | £19.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 66,359 | £13.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,180 | £62.20 |
| Match 4 | 2,798 | £99.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,345 | £206 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 67 | £4,727 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £57,580 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £271,450 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £101,812,992 |