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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£26,007,144
The crowdHeld 36% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 369 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 368 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 November 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 368 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 36, 38) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 November 2014 — its closest relative in 368 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 November 2014): 17, 36, 38 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 96 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 996,555 winners, 36% more than the 732k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 996,555 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 426,013 | £6.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 106,784 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 | 66,411 | £9.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19,593 | £19.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,634 | £12.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,321 | £61.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,280 | £88.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 531 | £214 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30 | £4,334 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £52,004 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £260,022 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £26,007,144 |