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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£19,781,352
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 380 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 379 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 379 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 26, 27, 49) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 December 2012 — its closest relative in 379 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 December 2014): 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 164 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 730,726 winners, 20% more than the 611k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,312,313 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 730,726 | £5.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 178,200 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 | 84,049 | £10.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32,804 | £16.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 45,631 | £11.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,196 | £52.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,738 | £93.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,045 | £155 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35 | £5,289 |
| Match 5 | 15 | £24,684 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 11 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £19,781,352 |