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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£72,180,000
The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 400 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 399 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 399 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 47, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 July 2013 — its closest relative in 399 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 199 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈69M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,200 winners, 33% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,321,600 | £3.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,218,252 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 440,146 | £6.60 |
| Match 3 | 155,735 | £10.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 73,809 | £14.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 80,374 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,690 | £48.20 |
| Match 4 | 3,200 | £99.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,732 | £183 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 83 | £4,363 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £72,422 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £241,407 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £72,180,000 |