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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£38,975,400
The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 405 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 404 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 404 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 26, 39) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 February 2015 — its closest relative in 404 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 139 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,636 winners, 19% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,023,032 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 481,089 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 126,047 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 | 68,113 | £9.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,896 | £17.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 32,028 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,619 | £55.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,636 | £76.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 751 | £168 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 40 | £3,598 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £38,975,400 |