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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£15,639,792
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 411 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 410 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 410 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 35, 49) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 December 2013 — its closest relative in 410 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 April 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 174 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 57 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 502 winners, 12% fewer than the 573 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 811,931 | £3.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 385,807 | £7.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 105,486 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 | 53,837 | £10.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,941 | £19.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 25,508 | £13.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,377 | £57.80 |
| Match 4 | 1,115 | £99.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 502 | £222 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £4,393 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £382,156 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £15,639,792 |