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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£34,276,744
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 419 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 418 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 418 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (29, 30, 46) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 January 2015 — its closest relative in 418 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 May 2015): 14 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 159 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 550 winners, 34% fewer than the 834 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 881,884 | £3.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 456,725 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 153,411 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 | 56,912 | £11.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,292 | £14.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 29,024 | £13.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,977 | £43.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,151 | £105 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 550 | £219 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36 | £3,832 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £91,964 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £137,945 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £34,276,744 |