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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£15,476,457
The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 421 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 420 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 420 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 30, 37) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 August 2013 — its closest relative in 420 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 May 2015): 35 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 159 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,091 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 798,965 | £3.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 366,744 | £7.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 99,729 | £10.10 |
| Match 3 | 47,390 | £12.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,459 | £20.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 22,122 | £15.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,091 | £71.60 |
| Match 4 | 966 | £113 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 472 | £232 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22 | £5,681 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £41,664 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £15,476,457 |