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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£10,791,000
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 424 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 423 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 423 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 20, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 June 2011 — its closest relative in 423 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 762 winners, 30% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,269,067 | £3.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 639,068 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 199,657 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 | 78,219 | £11.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,973 | £15.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 39,444 | £13.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,168 | £55.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,542 | £108 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 762 | £219 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £6,586 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £47,748 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £381,984 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £10,791,000 |