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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£10,669,500
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 431 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 430 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 June 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 430 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 38, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 July 2014 — its closest relative in 430 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 June 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,611 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 852,783 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 423,051 | £6.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 127,279 | £7.80 |
| Match 3 | 58,749 | £9.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,683 | £14.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 29,142 | £11.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,611 | £47.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,390 | £77.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 676 | £159 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32 | £3,850 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £30,797 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £92,391 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £10,669,500 |