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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£39,774,466
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 446 of 1,052 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 445 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 32, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 October 2020 — its closest relative in 445 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 December 2020): 32 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 168 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 6,820 winners, 14% fewer than the 7.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €44,958,140 |
| rang2 | 1 | €109,751 |
| rang3 | 0 | €20,520 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,360 |
| rang5 | 166 | €117 |
| rang6 | 315 | €66.20 |
| rang7 | 395 | €35.90 |
| rang8 | 5,195 | €15.40 |
| rang9 | 6,820 | €12.20 |
| rang10 | 16,649 | €9.40 |
| rang11 | 29,766 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 98,958 | €6.10 |
| rang13 | 235,126 | €4.20 |