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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£61,543,198
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 507 of 1,052 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 506 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 23, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 November 2019 — its closest relative in 506 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 July 2021): 23 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 46 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 10,975 winners, 12% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €193,278 |
| rang3 | 1 | €19,360 |
| rang4 | 4 | €1,508 |
| rang5 | 110 | €136 |
| rang6 | 260 | €60.10 |
| rang7 | 210 | €45.70 |
| rang8 | 3,976 | €13.10 |
| rang9 | 5,357 | €11.40 |
| rang10 | 10,975 | €10.10 |
| rang11 | 20,795 | €6.60 |
| rang12 | 83,601 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 176,829 | €4.00 |