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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,392,200
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 813 of 1,052 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 135 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 812 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 28, 39) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 December 2023 — its closest relative in 812 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 107 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 6,039 winners, 20% more than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €233,147 |
| rang3 | 2 | €15,569 |
| rang4 | 9 | €998 |
| rang5 | 128 | €103 |
| rang6 | 251 | €54.40 |
| rang7 | 311 | €32.90 |
| rang8 | 3,711 | €13.70 |
| rang9 | 6,039 | €10.10 |
| rang10 | 13,420 | €8.30 |
| rang11 | 18,873 | €6.70 |
| rang12 | 82,878 | €5.20 |
| rang13 | 180,585 | €3.70 |