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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,128,700
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 854 of 1,052 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 142 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 853 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 29, 43) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 November 2021 — its closest relative in 853 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 November 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 115 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,123,038 winners, 20% fewer than the 1.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,123,038 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 545,804 | £3.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 164,667 | £3.70 |
| Match 3 | 81,499 | £6.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32,798 | £7.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 39,040 | £7.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,459 | £28.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,883 | £26.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 936 | £70.70 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 46 | £781 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £19,227 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,128,700 |