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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£95,680,969
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,040 of 1,052 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 11 Sept 2026, 21:36 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,039 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 15, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 December 2024 — its closest relative in 1,039 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 September 2026): 39 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,276,869 winners, 13% more than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,276,869 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 533,172 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 131,709 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 86,849 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,167 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,853 | £8.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,977 | £39.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,861 | £29.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 830 | £88.50 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 39 | £1,023 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £21,346 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £182,664 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £95,680,969 |