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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,431,300
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,047 of 1,052 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 6 Oct 2026, 21:26 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,046 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 32, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 December 2025 — its closest relative in 1,046 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 October 2026): 22 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 161 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 649,412 winners, 12% more than the 581k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 649,412 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 277,687 | £4.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 67,792 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 44,197 | £7.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 12,452 | £13.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 18,682 | £9.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 832 | £55.40 |
| Match 4 | 925 | £35.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 418 | £104 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18 | £1,317 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £325,535 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,431,300 |