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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 23 September 2020

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20200115
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 23
  4. 25
  5. 33
  6. 5

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 1,873 of 3,011 under them

← 2020-09-21All recent draws2020-09-26 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 11 23 25 33 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 23 25 33 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd99th
  • low89th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

5188times
11187times
23203times
25178times
33

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 712k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang611%€305.7K
  • rang834%€930.3K
  • rang931%€837.4K
  • 5 other tiers24%€666.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

198times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

5203times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,872 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 11, 33) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 August 2020 — its closest relative in 1,872 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.0 by chance€32,377
  • rang384≈ 49 by chance€470
  • rang4586≈ 442 by chance€243
  • rang53,502≈ 2.1k by chance€24.30
  • rang621,526≈ 19k by chance€14.20
  • rang739,603≈ 30k by chance€6.00
  • rang8265,797≈ 266k by chance€3.50
  • rang9380,659€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,502 winners, 66% more than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang25€32,377
    rang384€470
    rang4586€243
    rang53,502€24.30
    rang621,526€14.20
    rang739,603€6.00
    rang8265,797€3.50
    rang9380,659€2.20