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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loto · draw
ResultLoto
Jackpot€4,000,000
The crowdHeld 62% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,816 of 3,009 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 3 Oct 2026, 20:52 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 287 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,815 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 18, 36) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 September 2026 — its closest relative in 2,815 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 82 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 322,012 winners, 62% fewer than the 856k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €4,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €75,381 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 63 | €876 |
| Match 4 | 541 | €368 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 2,910 | €40.80 |
| Match 3 | 23,275 | €18.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 38,256 | €8.70 |
| Match 2 | 322,012 | €4.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 487,350 | €2.20 |