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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loto · draw
ResultLoto
Jackpot€15,000,000
The crowdHeld 54% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,833 of 3,025 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 11 Nov 2026, 23:21 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 289 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,832 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 14, 17, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,832 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 28% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 November 2026): 4, 5, 14 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 69 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 296,993 winners, 54% fewer than the 642k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €15,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 4 | €47,601 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 72 | €645 |
| Match 4 | 675 | €248 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 2,926 | €34.20 |
| Match 3 | 25,132 | €14.30 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 33,108 | €8.40 |
| Match 2 | 296,993 | €3.70 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 365,813 | €2.20 |