Saturday, 7 May 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 17, 48) with the draw of 21 November 2015 — its closest relative in 404 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 103 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.