Wednesday, 14 June 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (24, 42, 46, 48) with the draw of 4 November 2016 — its closest relative in 2,253 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 June 2023): 42 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 194 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.