Saturday, 11 November 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 23, 32, 35) with the draw of 20 May 2020 — its closest relative in 2,361 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 November 2023): 35 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.