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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 21 October 2020

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 29
  6. 44
  7. 8

Jackpot£5,099,582

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 526 of 1,193 under them

← 2020-10-17All recent draws2020-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 27 28 29 44 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

945times
1246times
2756times
2844times
29

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£8.4Mto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball48%£4M
  • Match 410%£863.5K
  • Match 340%£3.3M
  • 1 other tier1.9%£161K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
4447times

Every number was expected about that many times after 525 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 27, 29, 44) with the draw of 15 July 2020 — its closest relative in 525 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 28–29. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£5,099,582
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4≈ 1.5 by chance£1,000,000
  • Match 592≈ 79 by chance£1,750
  • Match 46,168≈ 5.2k by chance£140
  • Match 3111,557≈ 118k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.1M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3111,557£30.00
    Match 46,168£140
    Match 592£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball4£1,000,000
    Match 60£5,099,582