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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Thursday, 21 October 2021

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 12
  5. 29
  6. 8

Jackpot£3,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019draw 272 of 794 under them

← 2021-10-18All recent draws2021-10-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 4 12 29 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours97th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

230times
325times
431times
1226times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.3Mto 195k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£261.5K
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14%£180.6K
  • Match 261%£811.9K
  • 3 other tiers5.2%£69K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

825times

Every number was expected about that many times after 271 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 3, 4) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 March 2020 — its closest relative in 271 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 October 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

50

The numbers add up to 50 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 3–4. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,600,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.4 by chance£120,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball32≈ 33 by chance£250
  • Match 4319≈ 297 by chance£50.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,502≈ 1.4k by chance£30.00
  • Match 313,075≈ 12k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,062≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 2162,381≈ 162k by chance£5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,502 winners, 11% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2162,381£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,062£10.00
    Match 313,075£20.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,502£30.00
    Match 4319£50.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball32£250
    Match 50£120,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£3,600,000