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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Thursday, 16 May 2024

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 3

Jackpot£3,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019draw 540 of 794 under them

← 2024-05-13All recent draws2024-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 16 21 26 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd9th
  • low89th
  • widest gap6th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

460times
1251times
1659times
2173times
26

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£5.5Mto 216k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball66%£3.6M
  • Match 56.6%£360K
  • Match 216%£886.7K
  • 5 other tiers11%£605.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

360times

Every number was expected about that many times after 539 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 16, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 December 2023 — its closest relative in 539 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,600,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.5 by chance£120,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball55≈ 36 by chance£250
  • Match 4454≈ 324 by chance£50.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,746≈ 1.5k by chance£30.00
  • Match 315,343≈ 13k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,949≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 2177,337≈ 177k by chance£5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,746 winners, 18% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2177,337£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,949£10.00
    Match 315,343£20.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,746£30.00
    Match 4454£50.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball55£250
    Match 53£120,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£3,600,000