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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 4 July 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 29
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 58% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,336 of 3,068 under them

← 2018-07-03All recent draws2018-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 12 15 29 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 171 of each

5165times
7177times
12148times
15173times
29

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£700.2Kto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 325%£174.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27%£187.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball18%£126.3K
  • 5 other tiers30%£211.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

178times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each

282times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,335 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 7, 12, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 January 2014 — its closest relative in 1,335 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

68

The numbers add up to 68 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47≈ 26 by chance£250
  • Match 4626≈ 334 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,017≈ 849 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,214≈ 9.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 317,454≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,511≈ 35k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,088≈ 42k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,454 winners, 58% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42,088£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,511£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,214£10.00
    Match 317,454£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,017£20.00
    Match 4626£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000