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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Friday, 11 September 2026 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2026-09-09 All recent draws 2026-09-12 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 11 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 3 7 17 25 28 + 14 24 Oct 2026, 23:21 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2026-09-11 Lines in play ≈ 954k as the winner counts imply Paid out £536.8K to 84k winning lines Won something 1 in 11 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.12 Where the money went
Match 3 24% £127.9K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 27% £142.9K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 18% £98.8K 5 other tiers 31% £167.2K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.12 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
399times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,044 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 4≈ 1.5 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 19≈ 20 by chance £250
Match 4 464≈ 261 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 790≈ 664 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 8,027≈ 7.1k by chance £10.00
Match 3 12,790≈ 8.6k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 28,589≈ 27k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 32,922≈ 33k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈954k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,790 winners, 48% more than the 8.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.