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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 17 November 2010

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 33
  5. 42
  6. 45
  7. 2

Jackpot€2,559,532

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 92 of 601 under them

← 2010-11-13All recent draws2010-11-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 16 33 42 45 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 91 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 November 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

411times
1513times
167times
3310times
4211times
4511times

Every number was expected about that many times after 91 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 15, 45) with the draw of 25 September 2010 — its closest relative in 91 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2010): 42, 45 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-11-17

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€383.6Kto 31k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 426%€99.9K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball17%€67K
  • Match 335%€135.2K
  • 2 other tiers21%€81.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.16 by chance€2,559,532
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.96 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 543≈ 37 by chance€1,518
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball89≈ 91 by chance€183
  5. Match 41,753≈ 1.7k by chance€57.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,310≈ 2.3k by chance€29.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 20k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 327,032≈ 27k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 327,032€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,310€29.00
Match 41,753€57.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball89€183
Match 543€1,518
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€25,000
Match 60€2,559,532