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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
Jackpot€4,164,479
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 209 of 601 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 208 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 208 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 23, 37, 44) with the draw of 26 January 2011 — its closest relative in 208 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 25% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 December 2011): 4, 37 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 149 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €3.00 |
| Match 3 | 39,129 | €5.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 3,004 | €28.00 |
| Match 4 | 2,401 | €53.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 117 | €177 |
| Match 5 | 51 | €1,623 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €25,000 |
| Match 6 | 1 | €4,164,479 |