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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 21 August 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 31
  6. 38
  7. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 380 of 601 under them

← 2013-08-17All recent draws2013-08-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 21 24 26 31 38 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 379 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

1438times
2148times
2455times
2658times
3141times
3859times

Every number was expected about that many times after 379 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (24, 26, 38) with the draw of 3 July 2013 — its closest relative in 379 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€315.5Kto 25k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 41lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 423%€73.2K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball16%€49.7K
  • Match 334%€108K
  • 3 other tiers27%€84.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.13 by chance€2,000,000
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.77 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 518≈ 29 by chance€2,647
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball79≈ 73 by chance€151
  5. Match 41,356≈ 1.4k by chance€54.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,257≈ 1.8k by chance€22.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 16k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 321,607≈ 22k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 321,607€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,257€22.00
Match 41,356€54.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball79€151
Match 518€2,647
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1€25,000
Match 60€2,000,000