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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 December 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 16
  3. 31
  4. 43
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 23

Jackpot€2,395,441

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 410 of 601 under them

← 2013-11-30All recent draws2013-12-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 16 31 43 44 45 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 409 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

1347times
1643times
3149times
4346times
4455times
4551times

Every number was expected about that many times after 409 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 43, 45) with the draw of 17 August 2013 — its closest relative in 409 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 November 2013): 31 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44, 44–45. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-12-04

  • Lines in play≈ 841kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€263.7Kto 20k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 427%€71.6K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball18%€47.3K
  • Match 333%€87.1K
  • 2 other tiers22%€57.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.10 by chance€2,395,441
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.62 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 521≈ 24 by chance€2,195
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball45≈ 59 by chance€257
  5. Match 41,053≈ 1.1k by chance€68.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,479≈ 1.5k by chance€32.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 13k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 317,423≈ 17k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈841k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 317,423€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,479€32.00
Match 41,053€68.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball45€257
Match 521€2,195
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€25,000
Match 60€2,395,441