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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 5 March 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 27
  6. 43
  7. 26

Jackpot€8,302,204

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 436 of 601 under them

← 2014-03-01All recent draws2014-03-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 19 24 25 27 43 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 435 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

462times
1946times
2465times
2556times
2758times
4351times

Every number was expected about that many times after 435 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 25, 43) with the draw of 4 January 2014 — its closest relative in 435 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2014): 19 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-05

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€8.7Mto 38k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 695%€8.3M
  • Match 41.2%€101.4K
  • Match 31.9%€168.7K
  • 4 other tiers2.0%€175.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.20 by chance€8,302,204
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.2 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 539≈ 46 by chance€1,696
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball98≈ 114 by chance€169
  5. Match 41,913≈ 2.1k by chance€53.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,596≈ 2.8k by chance€26.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 25k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 333,746≈ 34k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 333,746€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,596€26.00
Match 41,913€53.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball98€169
Match 539€1,696
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1€25,000
Match 61€8,302,204