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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 1 October 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 37
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 31

Jackpot€3,346,012

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 496 of 601 under them

← 2014-09-27All recent draws2014-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 23 26 37 43 44 + 3129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 495 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

2166times
2369times
2672times
3762times
4364times
4464times

Every number was expected about that many times after 495 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (26, 37, 44) with the draw of 5 December 2012 — its closest relative in 495 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2014): 23 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

194

The numbers add up to 194 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-10-01

  • Lines in play≈ 851kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€293.6Kto 20k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 425%€73.1K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball16%€48.1K
  • Match 330%€88.1K
  • 3 other tiers29%€84.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.10 by chance€3,346,012
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.63 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 522≈ 24 by chance€2,155
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball62≈ 60 by chance€192
  5. Match 41,001≈ 1.1k by chance€73.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,502≈ 1.5k by chance€32.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 13k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 317,626≈ 18k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈851k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 317,626€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,502€32.00
Match 41,001€73.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball62€192
Match 522€2,155
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1€25,000
Match 60€3,346,012