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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
Jackpot€6,415,598
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 542 of 601 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 541 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 541 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 20, 21) with the draw of 16 July 2011 — its closest relative in 541 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 March 2015): 21, 45 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €3.00 |
| Match 3 | 30,256 | €5.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,759 | €31.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,901 | €43.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 66 | €203 |
| Match 5 | 48 | €1,114 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €25,000 |
| Match 6 | 0 | €6,415,598 |